Assist/Turnover ratio clearly has a high impact on how efficiently the Thunder shoot compared to their opponent. I don’t think anyone would be surprised to learn that the most efficient way to win a basketball game is to shoot a higher percentage than your opponent, but look at the factors that correlate with the FG%/Opponent FG% number. I then ranked the correlation coefficients by absolute value: Factor 1 I thought it important to examine the correlation between these narratives and actual Thunder victories, so I exported individual game stats and ran them against each game’s final result using a 1/0 coding for Wins and Losses, respectively. After victories, it is because they "made the extra pass," and "it started with the defense." Every NBA player and coach says the same things after every NBA game, but just how real are these issues when it comes to the Thunder? When the Thunder lose, the story has always cycled between sloppy ball-handling, too much offensive isolation, and poor defense. As expected, the narratives changed as well. Following their worst week of the season, OKC suddenly flipped a switch and transformed into an efficient, selfless basketball machine that looks capable of challenging anyone. That could not have been a more Thunder-like turnaround. For example, "+3" represents a better performance than "+2," and "-3" is worse than "-2." A score of "0" is considered neutral. The scores are similar to those found in the box score of an NBA game, with a higher number representing a better performance.
OKC GOLDEN STATE PLUS MINUS MINUTES SERIES
Someone-preferably, multiple someones-will need to step up for Donovan.Welcome to "Plus/Minus," a weekly series that focuses on trends among players, topics, and ideas related to the Oklahoma City Thunder. During Game 5, those five players combined for just 28 points in a nine-point loss. So far in this series, the Thunder’s most important supporting cast members-Steven Adams, Serge Ibaka, Roberson, Waiters and Enes Kanter-have averaged a combined 53 PPG at home and 37 PPG on the road. But Ibaka shot 1-of-6 on three-point looks, and Waiters (1-of-5) couldn't get into a groove on either end of the floor.Īnd if the road splits for Oklahoma City's foundation of role players are any indication, Game 7 should prove to be another tough slog. Roberson hit all five of his field-goal attempts, and Adams was his usual aggressive self on the glass and defense. If more than one of Adams, Ibaka, Kanter, Andre Roberson and Dion Waiters play up to snuff and provide secondary scoring and playmaking, the Thunder are tough-nigh impossible-to beat.Įxcept this group didn't deliver enough of a punch in Game 6. Oklahoma City is at its best when Durant and Westbrook don't need to go it alone. Strong displays from the supporting cast have helped push the Thunder this far-one win from the NBA Finals. The Warriors need another wing, be it Harrison Barnes, Andre Iguodala or Klay Thompson, to drum up his totals, lest they be forced to play Oklahoma City's brand of bigger basketball. Only one of Golden State's players, Draymond Green, ranks top-six in total rebounds this series. But it also diminishes the number of offensive mismatches the Warriors create, which allows the Thunder to impose their length and athleticism on defense with much more ease. If Golden State slots one of Andrew Bogut, Festus Ezeli or Anderson Varejao in the middle, it has a body to throw on Steven Adams, Serge Ibaka or Enes Kanter.
And if OKC noticeably outworks the Dubs under the rim, it limits how liberally the latter's head coach, Steve Kerr, can use his smaller lineups.ĭictating the style of a game is a huge advantage. Though the Warriors have scrapped together two straight victories while playing to a net minus on the glass, the team that grabbed more rebounds won each of the first four games.
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